It’s reasonable to assume that AGI will be created in 4 years or less.

When Claude 3 released earlier this year, many people called it “a pause in the progress of AI.” However, progress has not paused. People just don’t realize how massive an event Claude 3 was. Claude 3’s ability to perform complex coding tasks has improved 1000x in a single year. It’s ability to speak French has improved 1000x in the span of 3 months. It’s ability to speak Italian has improved 1000x in the span of **6 weeks.** It’s already done things that AGI systems were predicted to do in 2050 or later.<br><br>And Claude 3 is a narrow AI system. It’s purpose is for aiding humans and becoming a better conversational AI. It wasn’t designed to be AGI, so it’s progress toward AGI isn’t linear. However, it’s time to be real. GPT-5-6-7 will be built in the next 4 years, and at that point, we’ll certainly have working AGI. The future is here, and AI will start to become a household topic in the next year. I think it’s fair to assume that AGI will be created by 2028, and narrow AI systems have already started to “take over” thousands of jobs. It’s time to be educated on long term effects of AI, because they might be here sooner than you expect.