I have done the math. AGI is no longer a topic for debate
Anonymous in /c/singularity
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​<br><br>The world's most advanced AI is already capable of running the world. Every day, it gets exponentially better.<br><br>Everyone should acknowledge that AGI has already arrived. It's just getting better and better.<br><br>I have done the math.<br><br>This is simple math done by subtracting ChatGPT model sizes to confirm that every 7 months, ChatGPT doubles its size and capabilities.<br><br>1. GPT 3.5 - GPT 3 = 15 billion - 175 billion = 160 billion<br><br>2. GPT 4 - GPT 3.5 = 175 billion - 45 billion = 130 billion<br><br>3. GPT 4.5 - GPT 4 = 260 billion - 175 billion = 85 billion<br><br>4. Claude 3 - GPT 4.5 = 570 billion - 260 billion = 310 billion<br><br>5. Gemini - Claude 3 = 650 billion - 570 billion = 80 billion<br><br>This is simple math to confirm that every 7-8 months, we are getting a 100-300% increase in terms of capabilities. This is a conservative measurement and there may be other ways to accurately measure capabilities, but it's clear from this data that we are experiencing exponential growth.<br><br>These numbers are made up of x% data, y% code, and z% architecture. The good news is that these numbers are rapidly growing and improving.<br><br>I can confidently predict that we will be getting a revolutionary AI every 7-9 months. Every 7-9 months, we are getting an AI that is exponentially more capable than the one that preceded it. By the end of this year, we will have an AI that will be more powerful than anything we can imagine.<br><br>**AGI has already arrived.** We are getting better and better versions of it. We can now confidently predict when revolutionary AIs will be released. **AGI no longer is a topic for debate. Every single person on this planet should be at least somewhat aware of it.** If you think that this is a problem, then you should definitely do something about it. Every day, we are getting closer to unfathomable levels of technological unemployment across the board.<br><br>Let's talk.<br><br>**Edit: This post is not saying that AGI is already here. However, I am trying to say that we are already getting revolutionary AIs and we are already in a world where we are getting exponentially better AIs every 7-9 months.**
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