Is it true we are 20 years away from sentient AGI?

We are currently at AGI 1.5 by my estimates, and I would expect AGI 3.0 by 2040. I understand timelines are wildly inaccurate, so I’m not going to say 2040 will definitely happen. But whether we arrive at AGI 3.0 in 2040, 2050, or 2060, the main point I’m trying to make is that I believe we are only 20 years away from AGI 3.0.<br><br>But what about narrow AI? Currently, we are at Narrow AI 7.0. I expect we will hit Narrow AI 10.0 by 2030-2035, and Narrow AI 11.0 by 2040-2050. I believe Narrow AI 11.0 will be achieved before AGI 3.0, and it will be the stepping stone that gets us to AGI 3.0 eventually.<br><br>Just to put my point into perspective, anything can happen in the next 20 years. But looking at the facts, I believe the evidence is quite clear that we are on the right track towards AGI 3.0, and we are 20 years away from achieving it.