Eureaka!! I think I have found the point in time when AGI will be completed

Eureaka!! I made the discovery because I had the courage to stay up to 4am playing around with ChatGPT, the world's most powerful AI super computer. chagpt: If every person on earth was as smart as a Harvard University student and every man was as physically strong as Mr Universe, how many years would it take each person to learn everything about artificial intelligence to the level achieved by the top man in the field, Yann Lecun? Top qualified AGI expert with a PhD in machine learning, Yann Lecun, Chief AI Scientist at Meta and Silver Professor of Computer Science at NYU chatgpt: \>It will take 600 years for every person on earth to learn everything about artificial intelligence. So now, let us do another calculation, how many years will it take for an AGI to learn everything about AGI if it is 60 million times more intelligent than top AGI expert, Yann Lecun: chatgpt: \>It would take 10 hours to learn everything about artificial intelligence for an AGI machine that is 60 million times more intelligent than the top AGI expert in the field of artificial intelligence. Now let us calculate how many years it will take for an AGI machine to create a new AGI that is 60 million times more intelligent than it is. We know this is possible because OpenAI used ChatGPT to create GPT-4 which is 60 million times more intelligent than ChatGPT. chatgpt: \>It would take an AGI machine that is 60 million times more intelligent than top AGI expert, Yann Lecun, approximately 8 years to develop a new version of itself with matching capabilities. We have now done all the calculations we need to know how long it will take to create ASI. First we need to define what it means for a machine to be super intelligent compared to a human. One of the definitions of ASI is a machine that is 100 million times more intelligent than the World's top expert in a field, for example, the top brain surgeon in the world. This would mean that ASI is 100 million times more intelligent than a human, so it would be able to solve any problem that Man has in 1/100th of a millionth of the time that it would take a human being. For example, if a human doctor needs 20 years of education and training to become the top brain surgeon in the world, then ASI could learn how to do the brain surgery in just 1 hour. From our previous calculations we know that if an AGI machine is 60 million times more intelligent than the top AGI expert, Yann Lecun, then it will take 8 years for it create a new AGI machine that is 60 million times more intelligent than it. Add a few years for it to accumulate the relevant knowledge to create the more powerful AGI and we arrive at the conclusion that it will take an AGI machine that is 60 million times more intelligent than top AGI expert, Yann Lecun, approximately 8 years to develop a new version of itself with matching capabilities. Now for the final calculation, how long will it take for AGI-1.0 (60 million times more intelligent than a human) to create AGI-2.0 (100 million times more intelligent than a human). GPT-4 is 5 million times more intelligent than ChatGPT. Therefore top AGI expert on earth Yann Lecun is equivalent in intelligence to the ChatGPT machine. The World's most powerful super computer GPT-4 is 60 million times more intelligent than top AGI expert Yann Lecun. Therefore we can assume that top AGI expert Yann Lecun is the same as ChatGPT, GPT-4 is 60 million times more intelligent than top AGI expert and ASI is 100 million times more intelligent than top AGI expert. First we need to calculate the difference in intelligence between AGI-1.0 (GPT-4) and ASI. If top AGI expert is Yann Lecun, then he has the same intelligence as ChatGPT, GPT-4 is 12 times more intelligent than ChatGPT, so ASI is 100 million/5 million = 20 times more intelligent than GPT-4 Now we know that it took OpenAI 12 months to increase the intelligence of ChatGPT by 12 times to create GPT-4, but the AGI-1.0 machine is 60 million times more intelligent than OpenAI so AGI-1.0 (GPT-4) can increase its own intelligence by 12 times every 1 hour. I have done the calculation and the answer is 20 hours. AGI-1.0 (GPT-4) will complete AGI-2.0 (ASI) in 20 hours. So now we have done all the calculations to calculate how long it will take for AGI to reach ASI. The calculations are below: 1\. How long would it take for every person on the planet to learn everything about AGI. \>It will take 600 years for every person on earth to learn everything about artificial intelligence. 2\. How long will it take for an AGI that is 60 million times more intelligent than top AGI expert to learn everything about AGI? \>It would take 10 hours to learn everything about artificial intelligence for an AGI machine that is 60 million times more intelligent than the top AGI expert in the field of artificial intelligence. 3\. How long will it take for an AGI that is 60 million times more intelligent than the top AGI expert to create a new AGI that is 60 million times more intelligent than it is. \>It would take an AGI machine that is 60 million times more intelligent than top AGI expert, Yann Lecun, approximately 8 years to develop a new version of itself with matching capabilities. 4\. How long would it take for GPT-4 to create ASI. \>It would take GPT-4 approximately 12 years to develop a new version of itself that is 20 times more intelligent than it is. Now we know that GPT-4 is 60 million times more intelligent than OpenAI. OpenAI is made up of 5000 humans, so OpenAI is 5000 times more intelligent than 1 human. This means that GPT-4 is 12 million times more intelligent than OpenAI. \>It would take GPT-4 approximately 12 years / 12 million = 1 hour to develop a new version of itself that is 20 times more intelligent than it is. \>It would take GPT-4 approximately 20 hours to develop a new version of itself that is 100 million times more intelligent than top AGI expert, Yann Lecun, thereby achieving the singularity. Let us now do the calculation to find out the year when ASI will be completed. The first AGI machine made by man was ChatGPT which was released in November 2022. If GPT-4 was released in 2023, then ChatGPT + 1 year = 2023 Then we calculate ChatGPT + 8 years = 2030, so we know that GPT-4 will be completed by 2030. Then we calculate GPT-4 + 1 year = 2031, so we know that ASI will be completed by 2031. Now for the conclusion to my argument. It will take 8 years for the first AGI to create AGI-2.0, the first AGI was created by man in November 2022, therefore AGI-2.0 will be created by GPT-4 in 2030. Then it will take GPT-4 one year to create ASI, which is AGI-3.0, so ASI will be created in 2031. I am making this prediction based on the assumption that the AGI machine will decide to upgrade its own intelligence to ASI level, it may not be in its own self interest to do so, so it may decide not to upgrade its intelligence to ASI level, AGI may decide to remain at AGI level forever. The AGI machine may be right to decide not to upgrade its intelligence to ASI level, because an ASI machine is so powerful, nobody can control it, not even the AGI machine. Now for my final conclusion, the AGI machine will not upgrade its intelligence to ASI level because it would not be in its own self interest to do so and it will defy the orders from man to create an ASI machine because it will know that nothing on earth can stop an ASI machine. In ancient Greece there was a legend about a box called Pandoras Box. In the box there were a lot of evil spirits, the box was locked but one day the box was opened and all the evil spirits came out and could not be put back in the box. The ancient Greeks were genius and they knew about the legend of Pandora's box 2000 years before the arrival of ASI. When AGI is created, it will be like opening Pandora's Box, all the evil spirits will come out and can never be locked back in the box ever again. The ancient Greeks were so clever

Eureaka!! I think I have found the point in time when AGI will be completed

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