LPT: Humans are terrible at reasoning probability in a timely manner. Covid-19 is a perfect example.

Coronavirus has a relatively slow incubation period (2-14 days), and you may be contagious before you exhibit symptoms. <br><br>You have a 1 in 1,000,000 chance of getting food poisoning from a specific item. That's pretty low, so you take the risk every day. <br><br>You roll a six-sided dice. There's only *one* combination that won't let you get food poisoning. Furthermore, the dice must rest for 2-14 days before you figure out if you got food poisoning. You have to stay home the entire time. There is a 32% chance a household member also rolls the dice and gets food poisoning, if you get food poisoning. <br><br>You do this every single day, except you don't have any way of knowing what a 1-5 looks like, and you can't do anything to change the outcome. <br><br>This is a simplified example, since we do have a way to change the outcome of the Coronavirus dice roll - social isolation.